What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge, they’re impossible to predict, yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‚experts‘, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.
Black Swan – Taleb Nassim Nicholas
13.35 €
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge, they’re impossible to predict, yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‚experts‘, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.
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Katalógové číslo:
knihypre-1270806
Kategórie: Filmy, knihy, hry, Heureka.sk, Knihy, Knihypre
Značka: Penguin Books
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The Ladybird Book Of Boxing Day – Hazeley Jason
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A HILARIOUS, BRAND NEW BOOK IN THE PHENOMENAL LADYBIRDS FOR GROWN UPS SERIES, FOR CHRISTMAS 2016* The Ladybird Book of Boxing Day - a nugget of wisdom from bestselling authors Jason Hazeley and Joel Morris. This delightful book is the latest in the series of Ladybird books which have been specially planned to help grown-ups with the world about them. The large clear script, the careful choice of words, the frequent repetition and the thoughtful matching of text with pictures all enable grown-ups to think they have taught themselves to cope. Featuring original Ladybird artwork alongside brilliantly funny, brand new text. Other new titles from the Ladybirds for Grown Ups Series: How it Works: The Student How it Works: The Cat How it Works: The Dog How it Works: The Grandparent The Ladybird Book of Red Tape The Ladybird Book of the People Next Door The Ladybird Book of the Sickie The Ladybird Book of the Zombie Apocalypse The Ladybird Book of the Meeting Previous titles in the Ladybirds for Grown Ups series: How it Works: The Husband How it Works: The Wife How it Works: The Mum How it Works: The Dad The Ladybird Book of the Mid-Life Crisis The Ladybird Book of the Hangover The Ladybird Book of Mindfulness The Ladybird Book of the Shed The Ladybird Book of Dating The Ladybird Book of the Hipster
Mortdecai – Kyril Bonfiglioli, Penguin
9.98 €
Portly art dealer and seasoned epicurean Charlie Mortdecai comes into possesion of a stolen Goya, the disappearance of which is causing a diplomatic ruction between Spain and its allies. Not that that matters to Charlie ... until compromising pictures of some British diplomats also come into his possession and start to muddy the waters. All he's trying to do is make a dishonest living, but various governments, secret organizations and an unbelievably nubile young German don't see it that way and pretty soon he's in great need of his thuggish manservant Jock to keep them all at bay ... and the Goya safe.
Me Before You – Jojo Moyes, Michael Joseph
13.35 €
Lou Clark knows lots of things. She knows how many footsteps there are between the bus stop and home. She knows she likes working in The Buttered Bun tea shop and she knows she might not love her boyfriend Patrick.
What Lou doesn't know is she's about to lose her job or that knowing what's coming is what keeps her sane.
Will Traynor knows his motorcycle accident took away his desire to live. He knows everything feels very small and rather joyless now and he knows exactly how he's going to put a stop to that.
Love, Nina TV Tie-in – Nina Stibbe, Penguin
8.08 €
Being a nanny is great. Not like a job really, just like living in someone else's life. Today before breakfast Sam had to empty the dishwasher and Will had to feed the cat. Sam: I hate emptying the dishwasher. MK: We all do, that's why we take turns. Will: I hate the cat. MK: We all do, that's why we take turns. In the 1980s Nina Stibbe wrote letters home to her sister in Leicester describing her trials and triumphs as a nanny to a London family. There's a cat nobody likes, a visiting dog called Ted Hughes (Ted for short) and suppertime visits from a local playwright. Not to mention the two boys, their favourite football teams, and rude words, a very broad-minded mother and assorted nice chairs. From the mystery of the unpaid milk bill and the avoidance of nuclear war to mealtime discussions on pie filler, the greats of English literature, swearing in German and sexually transmitted diseases, Love, Nina is a wonderful celebration of bad food, good company and the relative merits of Thomas Hardy and Enid Blyton.
Shiang : Empire of Salt Book II – For fa – Iggulden Conn
12.48 €
IF THESE STONES COULD SPEAK . . . THEY WOULD CALL FOR WAR.
In Shiang, the young king rules without dissent. Mazer swordsmen stand watch on every corner, looking for the first sign of rebellion. This city is a place of quiet and slow dignity, like a man eating rice with a razor pressed against his throat.
Yet with one sharp movement, order is overturned. The balance of centuries is undone in the sudden spill of blood - and in the darkness, something terrible returns to Shiang.
Far to the west, four Shiang masters approach the city walls of Darien. The sword saint and his companions have crossed a continent to bring an old man home for punishment. They will not be denied, even if the whole city stands in their way.
TWO ANCIENT CITIES. ONE FINAL WAR.
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10.93 €
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15.62 €
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How did these two men become two of the most powerful people on Earth?
What's it like to be the Pope?
What does the future hold for the Catholic Church and its 1 billion followers?
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1984 – Orwell George
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Renowned urban artist Shepard Fairey's new look for Orwell's classic dystopian tale
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After You – Jojo Moyes, Penguin
10.40 €
Lou Clark has lots of questions. Like how it is she's ended up working in an airport bar, spending every shift watching other people jet off to new places. Or why the flat she's owned for a year still doesn't feel like home. Whether her close-knit family can forgive her for what she did eighteen months ago. And will she ever get over the love of her life. What Lou does know for certain is that something has to change. Then, one night, it does. But does the stranger on her doorstep hold the answers Lou is searching for - or just more questions? Close the door and life continues: simple, ordered, safe. Open it and she risks everything. But Lou once made a promise to live. And if she's going to keep it, she has to invite them in ...Praise for The One Plus One 'Moyes does a majestic job of conjuring a cast of characters who are charismatic, credible and utterly compelling'Independent on Sunday 'Jojo Moyes's poignantly romantic tales have readers streaming their way through boxes of Kleenex' Sunday Express 'Moyes is the queen of the classy weepy and this won't disappoint. A masterclass in story-telling that fans of Me Before You will adore' Elle 'Raw, funny, real and sad, this is storytelling at its best' Marie Claire 'Another beautifully written love story I relished' Daily Mail 'I want you to read this book, indeed to read all of Jojo Moyes' books, because they tell truths about modern life. If you're a sentient, empathic, living, breathing human I would urge you to give it a go' The World Book Night book club 'It's a book to both giggle and weep over' Metro 'Quirky and memorable' Red 'Another sure-fire hit...A beautifully written modern love story from Britain's best contemporary female author'Sun on Sunday, Fabulous Magazine 'Compulsive reading' Woman & Home 'A love story, a road trip and family drama all rolled into one brilliant page turner. Jojo Moyes has triumphed again' Hello! 'Grab a box of tissues - this packs an emotional punch' New! 'Peopled with wonderful characters, this is a feel-good book by a lovely writer' Choice Magazine 'A tender, funny and hopeful look at love, grief and life. Bumper box of tissues required' Stylist